Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 176.219721 192.840899 209.813902 228.412809 248.190197 268.563107 291.105750
2024-12-15 148.515358 173.308666 199.780028 230.019759 263.479612 299.244271 340.234920
2024-12-22 127.821258 158.458767 192.546608 232.970314 279.278654 330.357228 390.635018
2024-12-29 114.216741 149.671267 190.614989 240.791073 300.008594 367.070500 448.133432
2025-01-05 102.057088 140.984092 187.534256 246.321757 317.575644 400.156449 502.067672
2025-01-12 89.173510 129.875916 180.255962 245.752882 327.164352 423.566907 544.811772
2025-01-19 78.366561 120.150292 173.603561 245.008996 335.842217 445.510227 585.788446
2025-01-26 72.803700 116.655466 174.345668 253.170261 355.355376 480.674629 643.143341
2025-02-02 67.417975 112.782031 174.094726 259.680962 372.609097 513.117891 697.531436
2025-02-09 62.954002 109.705324 174.511762 266.776591 390.487694 546.424054 753.338585
2025-02-16 58.739424 106.544182 174.456300 272.979727 407.096875 578.209177 807.571798
2025-02-23 50.814247 97.023351 164.737621 265.299998 404.756745 585.313467 830.299780
2025-03-02 44.791221 89.974381 158.218057 261.859916 408.121805 600.095997 863.515337
2025-03-09 40.795689 85.802059 155.640462 263.808301 418.786095 624.597621 909.712121
2025-03-16 37.534992 82.524573 154.157995 267.168921 431.372923 651.794679 959.815909
2025-03-23 35.781239 81.666478 156.310940 275.868311 451.576510 689.495335 1024.291995
2025-03-30 33.623988 79.864843 156.809955 282.009433 468.185053 722.524032 1082.973163
2025-04-06 30.318490 75.600776 153.032435 281.400508 474.938971 742.081240 1123.792688
2025-04-13 27.309348 71.550053 149.297603 280.590002 481.219993 760.932004 1163.767241
2025-04-20 26.279379 71.268230 151.834539 289.604978 502.051391 800.223392 1231.902012
2025-04-27 25.016717 70.377644 153.236815 296.790052 520.234811 836.001290 1295.608435
2025-05-04 23.949861 69.771961 155.053409 304.613556 539.433264 873.375804 1361.831747
2025-05-11 22.804222 68.875158 156.274462 311.448051 557.208439 908.919312 1425.883220